Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.110234 0.118414 0.126891 0.136335 0.146568 0.157329 0.169509
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.095998 0.107848 0.120748 0.135860 0.153109 0.172221 0.195052
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.090382 0.104648 0.120704 0.140169 0.163195 0.189651 0.222474
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.083290 0.098787 0.116704 0.139029 0.166219 0.198401 0.239587
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.077566 0.093916 0.113256 0.137937 0.168763 0.206203 0.255448
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.071826 0.088540 0.108710 0.134993 0.168553 0.210261 0.266465
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.069338 0.086944 0.108600 0.137389 0.174941 0.222653 0.288481
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.065192 0.082973 0.105214 0.135304 0.175299 0.227119 0.300133
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.061850 0.079826 0.102664 0.134076 0.176576 0.232673 0.313307
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.057962 0.075751 0.098673 0.130674 0.174674 0.233738 0.320199
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.055138 0.072939 0.096190 0.129125 0.175123 0.237896 0.331444
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.053270 0.071309 0.095191 0.129504 0.178175 0.245691 0.348113
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.050403 0.068259 0.092208 0.127103 0.177359 0.248206 0.357592
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.048390 0.066307 0.090659 0.126651 0.179298 0.254751 0.373377
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047995 0.066582 0.092201 0.130637 0.187790 0.271151 0.404763
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.046035 0.064540 0.090353 0.129583 0.188750 0.276364 0.419164
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044226 0.062634 0.088607 0.128574 0.189680 0.281502 0.433613
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042033 0.060079 0.085808 0.125851 0.187844 0.282260 0.441028
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041387 0.059766 0.086278 0.128067 0.193678 0.295132 0.468645
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039637 0.057740 0.084114 0.126138 0.192916 0.297521 0.479045
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038203 0.056133 0.082514 0.125003 0.193331 0.301762 0.492683
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036330 0.053792 0.079710 0.121856 0.190362 0.300343 0.496545
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034992 0.052224 0.078034 0.120423 0.190093 0.303306 0.508054